Insights into Citibank’s fall

DFN: Very interesting OpEd piece the The Street Dot Com. Insightful regarding the history of fall of Citibank. Is the right management in place to turn it around?

Opinion
Weill, Citigroup’s Fall Intertwined
By Eric Jackson 01/06/10 – 06:01 AM EST
http://www.thestreet.com/story/10655335/1/weill-citigroups-fall-intertwined.html

Sandy Weill, former chairman and CEO of Citigroup(C Quote), is disappointed.

Weill, who was the architect of the financial supermarket concept, the builder of the global bank on which the sun never set, and the main proponent of repealing the Glass-Steagall Act which allowed banks which were too big to fail, went public this past weekend with his beefs on how he’s been portrayed for contributing to Citi’s failure. His arguments are long on sour grapes and short on details.

In his interview over the weekend with the New York Times, Weill pointed out that Chuck Prince (his successor) and John Reed (his co-CEO following Citi’s merger with Travelers) were more to blame for the bank’s problems than him. Weill also blamed a lack of management quality, for which he agrees he’s partly to blame, for Citi’s undoing.

Weill used the interview as a vehicle to try and rehabilitate his image. His main points are that (1) Citi will always be his baby and he’s taken the bank’s fall from grace very hard; (2) he was an important person in shaping Citi but he’s only one person and he left the top job in 2003 and the chairman’s role in 2006 before problems emerged; (3) he’s been a major benefactor in his post-Citi years; (4) despite accusations that he drove Jamie Dimon away from the bank in 1999, he wasn’t ready to retire and Dimon only would stay if he got the CEO job; and (5) Weill has tried to help Citi since trouble broke out but has been rebuffed by the board.

Weill is right that more people than he decimated this once proud bank. When he left the chief executive role in 2003, there were many decisions left to be made which ultimately were critical to its problems later. However, his attempt to absolve himself of responsibility for Citi’s downfall is unconvincing and makes him appear even less sympathetic than before he spoke out.

Weill undoubtedly helped create the company, culture and lack of management depth that contributed to its imploding, even if he was seven years out of the top job. Portraying himself as an innocent bystander is disingenuous.

Of the two men he points to as the main culprits of Citi’s problems, Prince was his hand-picked successor and Reed was out of the company much longer than Weill. What’s more, Weill provides no reasoning for why these men were at fault.

Aside from leaving himself blameless, he also refuses to point the finger at Robert Rubin — whom he recruited — and anyone on the Citi board, which Weill’s interviewer later criticizes for being a bunch of "yes men" around Weill.

I have no doubt that Weill is angry and embarrassed at what’s happened to the company he built. Who wouldn’t in his shoes? But, if you’re going to lash out against lower-level management and say that buying the most toxic mortgages didn’t happen under your watch, you should provide an alternative approach which, had you been in charge, would have kept Citi on top. On this, Weill is silent.

Perhaps Jamie Dimon was a hot-head, and wanted the brass ring too soon. However, even if he’d presented Weill with an ultimatum as Weill suggests, there could have been ways to keep him in 1999. Weill should have agreed to a date that he’d retire (even four years off) and promised Dimon the top job. At that stage in Dimon’s career, such an offer would have been compelling (and similar to a timeline he agreed to before taking over the Chase CEO job after Bank One got bought).

What’s more likely with Dimon is that Weill simply would not agree to a date he’d leave Citi. He obviously didn’t think his management talent was so bad and let Dimon walk.
Weill is right that Citi’s board should have at least heard his views on the company in 2007. Even though I believe he had a lot of ego tied into his views of the company that colored his judgments, he knew that bank better than any of those directors and most of the current Citi executives.

With the rise of "independent directors," there’s been a push to limit any former CEO to have influence in board deliberations. Although there are risks of meddling, it seems ludicrous to limit any contact with an experienced executive to at least hear him out.

No one person or decision doomed Citi. Yet, Weill slapped this company together in a series of acquisitions. He recruited Rubin to bless a strategy of emulating Goldman by taking lots of risk without commensurate risk management. He brought in cozy board members, who later asked few tough questions of Weill’s chosen successor.

If Hugh McColl wants to come out and attack Ken Lewis and his other followers who fulfilled his vision at Bank of America(BAC Quote), or David Komansky wants to attack Stan O’Neill for what happened at Merrill Lynch, that’s fine but you’ve got to have an explanation for what the alternate plan would have been.

The reality is that all three of these companies were Titanics, where the new captains were just steering the ship on the same course it had been on before they got there.

The seeds that sowed Citi’s failure were the ones that led to its early success, 10 and 20 years earlier: a focus on growth without attention to details and risk management. Under the surface of a great story at Citi was little depth holding it together, and the person most at fault for that is Weill.

Mono Lake Warming Trend

DFN: My family and I have vacationed in Lee Vining for the past five years. Family reunion for the weekend. Starkly beautiful area, moon like. Worth the effort if you’ve never been. This year, we went to Markleeville for a change.

Mono Lake is warming faster than Lee Vining air temperature

January 5th, 2010 by Greg, Information SpecialistcloseAuthor: Greg, Information Specialist Name: Greg Reis

Title: Information Specialist
About: Since his Committee internship in 1995, Greg has been involved with Mono Basin stream restoration and with maintaining the Committee’s computers, Websites, and Research Library, and researching and compiling information for our programs. He is also an EMT on the Lee Vining Volunteer Fire Department. His B.S. degree from Cal Poly San Luis Obispo in Forestry and Natural Resources with a concentration in Environmental Management and a Senior Project in Hydrology reflects his interest in natural resources management, administration, planning, environmental analysis, and restoration. He is a member of the California Association of Environmental Professionals and the Watershed Management Council.See All Posts by Greg (47)
Contact Greg

I just read Bartshe’s post about the NASA study showing that Mono Lake’s July-September surface temperature warmed about 4 degrees from 64 degrees F in 1992 to 68.3 degrees F in 2008. The article suggests comparing the water temperatures with air temperatures, and I have just done that with the results shown below.

Mono Lake summer surface water temperature is warming faster than Lee Vining summer air temperature. Click on graph to enlarge.

The graph shows that in 1993 the water surface temperature of Mono Lake would be 0.4F cooler than the air temperature in Lee Vining, and in 2008 the water would be 1.4F warmer than the air. This is an increase of 1F for the air and 2.7F for the water–the water is warming almost 3 times faster than the air.

For this analysis I took average Lee Vining air temperatures for July, August, and September of each year and compared it to the ATSR points from the graph posted in the water temperature article. For all the years with water temperature data, Mono Lake was meromictic (chemically stratified the previous winter) except in 1993, 1994, 1995, 2004, 2005, and 2008. In these years the lake fully mixed the previous winter, allowing the full water column temperature to equalize with the winter air temperature.

The interesting thing about this study is that this means that the surface water is warming faster than the air at an increasing rate each year–it is not a multi-year effect since Mono Lake in those years mentioned above fully mixed in the winter. This assumes that winter air temperatures are not warming faster than summertime air temperatures–worth checking. Dr. Robert Jellison with UCSB has over 25 years of temperature data for Mono Lake (along with an air temperature station on Paoha Island), and it would be interesting to see how his water temperature data compare to the satellite data in the study. Also interesting would be to compare these temperatures with annual runoff to the lake–a year like 1995 with a lot of cold water running into the lake in summer would have a major effect.

Another interesting thing is that September air temperature is often much colder than July-August. But since the lake retains heat (as described in the Sac Bee article), I wondered how much September temperatures (when the water is almost always warmer than the air) are affecting this. I just looked at September vs. July-August air temperatures, and September is cooling! Relative to July-August, in 1993, September average air temperature in Lee Vining would have been 6.6F colder than July-August, but in 2008 it would have been 10F colder (based on the trend). September average air temperature is trending from 61.3F in 1994 to 59.1F in 2008. This means that July-August temperatures are rising even faster than the July-September average would lead one to believe. In fact, July-August Lee Vining average air temperatures rose 2.5F during the period–much faster than the 1 degree rise in summer air temperatures mentioned above that included September’s 2.2 degree cooling.

Note that the NASA study is a short term (12-year) study, and my additional look at air temperatures filled in some missing years but is still short, so all these conclusions are based on only 12-15 years of data. Also note that running the air temperature analysis with the missing water temperature months included results in big changes and additional warming–so the NASA study could be an underestimate. But there is still great value in this study–it demonstrates the value of remote sensing of lake temperatures, and it causes us to ask additional questions, which eventually lead to further studies with more conclusive results. Right now, from this data, we can say that it appears that during the last 15 years, July and August air temperatures are warming and September is cooling, and Mono Lake’s summertime surface water temperature appears to be rising at an even faster rate than the air.

How to implement a better ERP

DFN: My company (NextG Networks) is evaluating implementation of an ERP; we’re currently on EPICOR for accounting / finance. EPICOR is a ‘mid-range’ accounting solution with modules that allow it to migrate into a full services ERP.

Five Tips for Better Enterprise Resource Planning
Jan 5, 2010, By Chad Vander Veen, Associate Editor
http://www.govtech.com/gt/articles/736034

John Hoebler, a director at McLean, Va.-based business and technology solutions company MorganFranklin, offers five tips for anyone looking to optimize an enterprise resource planning (ERP) implementation.

Tip #1: Explore and understand your needs and capabilities.

Determine what your current business and operational objectives are, and examine what you are using in your current ERP package.

It’s best to document precisely what modules you have in place, and then move through each module, feature by feature, to assess if you’re currently using each feature. If you are using a feature, are you using it to its fullest functionality? If you’re not using a feature, what’s the feature’s value and what is the cost to implement it?

This forms a full picture of how to focus efforts to minimize spending while maximizing the return. Some questions typically asked during this phase are: How many people and how much effort are required to complete each process? What are the current issues? Where is the process being bogged down? What features are you using or not using today? What is the new release that can help solve your issues? Have you purchased software that is on the shelf and could help you?

Tip #2: Prioritize your options.

Rank each feature based on the following factors: timeline to implement, cost to implement, organizational readiness to accept the feature, and expected benefits of implementing the feature. By ranking each feature for these factors, you can create a score that ranks the features based on a cost-benefit analysis. The score should provide an objective assessment of which features would provide the most value to the organization both in the near term and the long term. It also can provide a ranking to determine how to efficiently deploy the resources you have on hand, as the to-do list will be long and require extensive planning to match resources, timeline and objectives.

Tip #3: Look for quick wins.

Consider taking on a few quick wins first before completing a big ERP optimization project. These will help demonstrate the ERP optimization’s potential to the business users and help make a case for a big project grouped in with several high-priority tasks. Typically there are five to 10 quick wins that can be implemented within days or weeks that provide immediate benefits, while also providing results that can be the basis for funding larger projects.

Tip #4: Don’t forget about change management.

Since the direct results of an optimization effort are changed or new processes, change management should be an integral part of an optimization effort. Identify and involve impacted end-users early in the process. Schedule formal training if needed, and update existing business process documentation.

Tip #5: Optimization is a continuous journey.

Government processes and applications will continually change over time. So should your ERP. ERP optimization assessments should be continually updated – at least annually – to keep your feature inventory up-to-date and aligned with your organizational goals.

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